CFB Power Rankings

10/6/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 6th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Oklahoma Sooners098.7%52.19.3
2.Missouri Tigers+297.4%54.015.1
3.Penn State Nittany Lions096.4%49.49.3
4.GA Tech Yellow Jackets+1194.8%42.211.8
5.Texas Longhorns092.7%46.012.6
6.USC Trojans+692.3%41.210.8
7.Alabama Crimson Tide-592.1%40.18.3
8.Oklahoma State Cowboys091.8%45.417.9
9.Ball State Cardinals+989.8%44.917.5
10.Georgia Bulldogs+388.5%40.714.5
11.Texas Tech Red Raiders-488.1%44.015.3
12.Boise State Broncos-286.9%41.514.7
13.Tulsa Golden Hurricane+485.8%48.522.7
14.North Carolina Tar Heels+1982.8%34.918.5
15.LSU Tigers-982.4%35.214.3
16.Florida State Seminoles+682.1%30.414.4
17.Utah Utes-182.1%37.215.3
18.California Golden Bears+1781.1%32.915.1
19.Ohio State Buckeyes-580.5%31.514.7
20.Northwestern Wildcats+980.1%29.312.7
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
21.Florida Gators075.9%31.116.2
22.Vanderbilt Commodores+2175.3%29.414.6
23.Illinois Fighting Illini+3775.3%33.321.5
24.Brigham Young Cougars-1575.1%34.518.2
25.TCU Horned Frogs+1474.7%27.212.3
26.Boston College Eagles+1571.6%25.317.6
27.Nebraska Cornhuskers071.6%31.923.0
28.Navy Midshipmen+870.5%36.222.3
29.Kansas Jayhawks-569.7%26.819.9
30.Michigan State Spartans+1669.2%27.419.6
31.Iowa Hawkeyes+768.0%25.818.7
32.Cincinnati Bearcats+2168.0%31.118.9
33.Virginia Tech Hokies-367.9%24.518.9
34.WF Demon Deacons+867.6%22.017.0
35.South Florida Bulls-2467.5%31.117.9
36.Clemson Tigers+1667.2%27.222.0
37.Maryland Terrapins-1466.6%26.922.7
38.Arizona Wildcats-1064.9%24.717.6
39.Minn. Golden Gophers+564.6%26.521.2
40.Pittsburgh Panthers+2263.9%22.719.4
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
41.Wisconsin Badgers-2263.7%25.220.0
42.Oregon Ducks-1662.9%27.621.0
43.Kentucky Wildcats-2361.7%20.514.8
44.Mississippi Rebels-460.5%28.422.0
45.W. Michigan Broncos+460.1%26.922.1
46.S. Carolina Gamecocks+2159.6%23.218.5
47.W. Virginia Mountaineers-1558.9%22.920.9
48.Nevada Wolf Pack+1358.7%26.423.2
49.Baylor Bears-1557.1%26.922.4
50.Air Force Falcons+1456.6%25.520.9
51.Connecticut Huskies-2055.0%25.220.5
52.Indiana Hoosiers+1154.5%24.124.8
53.Arizona St. Sun Devils-352.9%23.923.0
54.Oregon State Beavers+252.8%22.321.2
55.Houston Cougars+252.6%27.925.8
56.Duke Blue Devils-852.3%19.123.2
57.Louisville Cardinals+151.9%24.621.7
58.Troy Trojans+1051.2%24.621.4
59.Arkansas St. Indians050.7%21.823.7
60.Kansas State Wildcats-3550.4%24.227.3
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
61.New Mexico State Aggies+2249.3%24.026.6
62.Northern Illinois Huskies-1548.6%20.723.8
63.East Carolina Pirates+1847.0%22.822.5
64.San Jose State Spartans+2146.7%17.922.1
65.Auburn Tigers-2846.2%16.118.3
66.Colorado Buffaloes+346.1%16.622.6
67.Purdue Boilermakers-245.9%20.926.2
68.UNLV Rebels+444.9%24.329.1
69.Fresno State Bulldogs-2443.8%26.528.4
70.Notre Dame Fighting Irish+143.1%20.521.5
71.Stanford Cardinal+842.7%20.524.7
72.Colorado St. Rams+2342.6%21.924.8
73.C. Michigan Chippewas+740.6%20.526.7
74.Miami (FL) Hurricanes-1940.6%16.125.2
75.Michigan Wolverines-2439.1%14.923.5
76.Akron Zips-139.0%18.525.9
77.Bowling Green Falcons+737.7%16.924.4
78.Iowa State Cyclones-837.2%18.629.0
79.Hawaii Warriors+1235.4%18.825.6
80.Mid Tenn Blue Raiders+835.3%19.023.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
81.Rice Owls-1534.8%21.829.2
82.Tennessee Volunteers-2834.5%16.625.7
83.LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns-934.3%22.132.5
84.Temple Owls+2633.7%13.525.9
85.Buffalo Bulls+933.1%19.524.7
86.S. Miss Golden Eagles-1332.0%20.528.1
87.Memphis Tigers-530.8%21.430.1
88.Virginia Cavaliers+2029.5%11.025.9
89.Arkansas Razorbacks+728.5%18.330.5
90.Marshall Thundering Herd-128.1%16.926.7
91.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+1327.9%13.828.3
92.NC St. Wolfpack+127.7%13.729.8
93.Utah State Aggies-127.5%15.929.9
94.Syracuse Orange+326.4%15.232.2
95.E. Michigan Eagles+1225.3%16.932.5
96.Texas A&M Aggies-1025.2%16.730.2
97.New Mexico Lobos+824.1%14.427.5
98.Tulane Green Wave-2123.4%16.228.6
99.Rutgers Scarlet Knights-2323.4%14.032.7
100.UTEP Miners+322.8%16.129.2
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
101.Ohio Bobcats-2321.8%13.730.7
102.Toledo Rockets-1520.1%13.030.9
103.San Diego State Aztecs+320.0%14.730.1
104.Fla. Int. Golden Panthers+1319.9%12.326.2
105.Miami (OH) RedHawks-419.9%11.529.8
106.Florida Atlantic Owls-819.8%16.129.7
107.Kent St. Golden Flashes-719.7%14.233.7
108.UCLA Bruins-918.9%10.528.7
109.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+317.5%12.128.0
110.Mississippi State Bulldogs-2017.0%11.730.2
111.Wyoming Cowboys-216.5%11.329.7
112.UCF Knights+315.3%11.128.7
113.Army Black Knights+514.4%11.532.2
114.UAB Blazers-1211.0%14.536.5
115.SMU Mustangs-210.9%12.537.0
116.Washington Huskies-29.3%11.137.9
117.North Texas Mean Green+38.0%11.136.0
118.Washington St. Cougars-24.8%8.643.5
119.Idaho Vandals02.7%8.343.0
120.LA-Monroe Warhawks-92.2%8.846.3

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