CFB Power Rankings

9/22/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 22nd, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	USC Trojans	0	98.8%	56.7	6.1
2.	Oklahoma Sooners	0	98.0%	53.0	8.4
3.	Florida Gators	+1	96.3%	50.2	6.7
4.	Missouri Tigers	-1	95.3%	51.9	16.3
5.	LSU Tigers	+1	95.1%	50.8	8.8
6.	Georgia Bulldogs	-1	94.3%	48.5	11.3
7.	Texas Longhorns	0	93.9%	51.5	13.6
8.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+1	92.9%	42.5	10.3
9.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+1	87.5%	36.1	9.1
10.	Wisconsin Badgers	-2	86.8%	39.1	16.0
11.	Brigham Young Cougars	+9	85.5%	41.2	15.3
12.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1	85.3%	43.6	18.0
13.	WF Demon Deacons	+24	84.9%	30.4	11.9
14.	Boise State Broncos	+11	84.4%	42.4	17.2
15.	Ohio State Buckeyes	0	84.3%	34.5	13.7
16.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+5	83.1%	39.2	21.1
17.	Ball State Cardinals	-3	82.3%	42.3	22.2
18.	South Florida Bulls	-6	81.1%	38.5	14.2
19.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+11	79.7%	31.7	17.3
20.	Kansas Jayhawks	+4	79.5%	32.1	17.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	TCU Horned Frogs	-4	79.2%	29.7	10.8
22.	Utah Utes	-3	76.6%	32.4	15.4
23.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+3	75.8%	32.8	20.6
24.	Clemson Tigers	+9	75.3%	29.7	19.7
25.	Connecticut Huskies	+11	72.8%	32.0	15.0
26.	Minn. Golden Gophers	+17	72.5%	32.4	21.7
27.	Michigan State Spartans	+20	70.0%	26.3	17.8
28.	Arkansas St. Indians	+4	69.7%	31.5	21.5
29.	Louisville Cardinals	+41	68.5%	30.0	17.7
30.	Kansas State Wildcats	-3	68.0%	29.1	21.8
31.	Arizona Wildcats	+20	67.6%	26.5	17.6
32.	Auburn Tigers	-19	67.4%	24.3	14.2
33.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	+7	67.2%	29.3	21.0
34.	Baylor Bears	-6	67.2%	31.6	20.8
35.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-1	67.0%	36.1	25.0
36.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+3	66.6%	24.8	17.5
37.	Maryland Terrapins	+8	66.6%	28.0	23.1
38.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	0	66.5%	39.5	27.4
39.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+13	66.4%	28.1	18.5
40.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+23	66.2%	23.8	19.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Colorado Buffaloes	+15	65.6%	23.9	18.7
42.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-13	64.9%	28.0	24.8
43.	California Golden Bears	-8	64.8%	29.2	21.4
44.	Florida State Seminoles	-22	63.1%	25.2	22.0
45.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+20	63.0%	24.9	21.2
46.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+8	62.3%	31.8	23.2
47.	Navy Midshipmen	+2	61.1%	34.5	25.9
48.	Oregon Ducks	-32	61.0%	28.8	23.0
49.	Kentucky Wildcats	+6	58.5%	19.1	14.4
50.	Boston College Eagles	+28	56.9%	17.0	17.8
51.	Northwestern Wildcats	-3	56.6%	20.9	20.0
52.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+21	56.4%	19.1	20.0
53.	Troy Trojans	-12	55.1%	22.5	17.6
54.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+7	54.4%	25.6	25.1
55.	UNLV Rebels	+7	54.2%	24.6	24.4
56.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-10	53.9%	24.7	26.1
57.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	-34	53.2%	21.3	22.9
58.	Mississippi Rebels	-14	53.1%	24.4	23.0
59.	Tennessee Volunteers	-28	52.2%	22.9	21.3
60.	NC St. Wolfpack	+37	52.0%	21.1	25.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	Michigan Wolverines	+7	51.3%	16.1	19.0
62.	W. Michigan Broncos	+14	50.6%	27.2	28.1
63.	Indiana Hoosiers	-21	49.9%	21.2	24.3
64.	Toledo Rockets	+19	49.8%	25.2	26.3
65.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	-12	46.9%	17.7	20.0
66.	East Carolina Pirates	-48	46.5%	21.4	21.5
67.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+21	44.9%	23.5	24.3
68.	Air Force Falcons	+4	44.3%	20.5	23.5
69.	Iowa State Cyclones	-12	44.2%	21.1	28.7
70.	Purdue Boilermakers	-20	44.0%	18.5	25.4
71.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+29	43.2%	23.8	29.9
72.	Tulane Green Wave	+38	42.2%	18.0	20.7
73.	Akron Zips	+4	41.8%	22.3	29.2
74.	Duke Blue Devils	-7	41.2%	17.5	27.5
75.	Ohio Bobcats	+6	40.8%	15.9	22.6
76.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-1	40.0%	19.9	27.7
77.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	-6	38.3%	21.9	26.7
78.	Oregon State Beavers	+8	37.8%	17.9	25.6
79.	San Jose State Spartans	+5	36.9%	14.0	23.6
80.	Buffalo Bulls	-21	34.6%	19.9	25.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-21	33.9%	18.5	26.0
82.	C. Michigan Chippewas	-8	33.1%	17.3	28.9
83.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-25	33.1%	19.1	29.7
84.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-4	31.8%	17.0	24.9
85.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+2	31.6%	16.3	31.1
86.	Colorado St. Rams	+8	30.6%	16.8	26.5
87.	Texas A&M Aggies	+3	30.0%	18.5	29.6
88.	Utah State Aggies	+31	27.3%	15.8	32.7
89.	Houston Cougars	-25	26.3%	18.7	33.2
90.	E. Michigan Eagles	-8	25.6%	15.4	32.0
91.	UCLA Bruins	-12	24.8%	12.1	27.2
92.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+4	23.3%	11.4	27.7
93.	New Mexico Lobos	0	22.8%	13.4	27.8
94.	Memphis Tigers	+4	22.6%	17.9	32.1
95.	Bowling Green Falcons	0	22.4%	8.9	27.3
96.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-5	21.8%	11.9	30.1
97.	New Mexico State Aggies	+12	21.5%	12.6	33.3
98.	Virginia Cavaliers	+6	21.3%	9.6	30.1
99.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-10	20.8%	14.9	34.4
100.	Washington Huskies	-8	20.4%	13.3	31.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	Washington St. Cougars	+15	20.4%	12.5	31.4
102.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+4	20.4%	10.1	30.5
103.	Rice Owls	-37	20.1%	14.0	30.9
104.	Stanford Cardinal	-5	19.0%	10.5	30.8
105.	Temple Owls	-20	17.6%	9.7	33.8
106.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+6	17.4%	13.2	30.3
107.	UTEP Miners	+7	16.1%	12.5	32.4
108.	SMU Mustangs	-7	15.5%	13.8	35.0
109.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-40	15.0%	13.0	31.5
110.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-5	13.7%	11.4	33.3
111.	Hawaii Warriors	-9	13.2%	9.2	31.0
112.	Syracuse Orange	+3	13.1%	9.7	37.4
113.	Wyoming Cowboys	-6	12.9%	9.8	33.0
114.	UAB Blazers	-11	12.4%	13.4	35.1
115.	UCF Knights	-7	12.1%	9.0	31.0
116.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	+4	10.2%	8.3	30.7
117.	San Diego State Aztecs	+1	9.1%	8.7	35.3
118.	North Texas Mean Green	-1	8.1%	9.7	37.0
119.	Army Black Knights	-8	6.0%	6.7	35.0
120.	Idaho Vandals	-7	5.2%	7.5	38.8

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