Week 16 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 16 in Fantasy Football
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
December 18th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense


Overall rankings

 NamePosTeamOppPoints
1.Tom BradyQBPatriotsDolphins30.8
2.Brian WestbrookRBEaglesSaints25.5
3.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawksRavens25.0
4.Derek AndersonQBBrownsBengals24.2
5.David GarrardQBJaguarsRaiders24.1
6.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneers49ers23.2
7.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargersBroncos22.8
8.Brett FavreQBPackersBears22.4
9.Donovan McNabbQBEaglesSaints21.8
10.Ryan GrantRBPackersBears21.7
11.Jon KitnaQBLionsChiefs21.4
12.Kurt WarnerQBCardinalsFalcons21.3
13.Drew BreesQBSaintsEagles21.2
14.Peyton ManningQBColtsTexans21.1
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
15.Tony RomoQBCowboysPanthers20.7
16.Carson PalmerQBBengalsBrowns20.3
17.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersRams20.3
18.Earnest GrahamRBBuccaneers49ers19.9
19.Philip RiversQBChargersBroncos19.1
20.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinalsFalcons18.7
21.Willie ParkerRBSteelersRams18.7
22.Jamal LewisRBBrownsBengals18.4
23.Kevin JonesRBLionsChiefs18.4
24.Vince YoungQBTitansJets18.4
25.Frank GoreRB49ersBuccaneers18.0
26.Willis McGaheeRBRavensSeahawks18.0
27.Joseph AddaiRBColtsTexans18.0
28.Brodie CroyleQBChiefsLions17.1
29.Marion BarberRBCowboysPanthers16.5
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
30.Eli ManningQBGiantsBills16.4
31.Shaun HillQB49ersBuccaneers16.3
32.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriotsDolphins16.1
33.Fred TaylorRBJaguarsRaiders16.1
34.Todd CollinsQBRedskinsVikings16.0
35.Adrian PetersonRBVikingsRedskins15.6
36.Jay CutlerQBBroncosChargers15.5
37.Randy MossWRPatriotsDolphins15.5
38.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsFalcons15.3
39.Bobby EngramWRSeahawksRavens15.2
40.Chris RedmanQBFalconsCardinals15.2
41.Kyle OrtonQBBearsPackers15.0
42.Braylon EdwardsWRBrownsBengals14.9
43.Reggie WayneWRColtsTexans14.6
44.Marques ColstonWRSaintsEagles14.6
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
45.Kolby SmithRBChiefsLions14.2
46.Chad PenningtonQBJetsTitans14.2
47.Brandon JacobsRBGiantsBills14.0
48.Thomas JonesRBJetsTitans14.0
49.Steven JacksonRBRamsSteelers13.9
50.Plaxico BurressWRGiantsBills13.9
51.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosChargers13.8
52.PatriotsDEFDolphins13.8
53.Chad JohnsonWRBengalsBrowns13.8
54.Joey GallowayWRBuccaneers49ers13.7
55.Sage RosenfelsQBTexansColts13.6
56.Shaun McDonaldWRLionsChiefs13.5
57.Trent EdwardsQBBillsGiants13.4
58.Terrell OwensWRCowboysPanthers13.3
59.Aaron SteckerRBSaintsEagles13.3
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
60.Clinton PortisRBRedskinsVikings13.2
61.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguarsRaiders13.0
62.Warrick DunnRBFalconsCardinals13.0
63.Tarvaris JacksonQBVikingsRedskins13.0
64.Donald DriverWRPackersBears12.9
65.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsDolphins12.7
66.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRBengalsBrowns12.7
67.Kellen WinslowTEBrownsBengals12.5
68.Kevin CurtisWREaglesSaints12.4
69.Jason WittenTECowboysPanthers12.4
70.Selvin YoungRBBroncosChargers12.3
71.Marshawn LynchRBBillsGiants12.3
72.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsLions12.2
73.LenDale WhiteRBTitansJets12.1
74.Adrian PetersonRBBearsPackers12.1
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
75.Kyle BollerQBRavensSeahawks12.0
76.Tony GonzalezTEChiefsLions12.0
77.Adam VinatieriKColtsTexans11.9
78.Antonio GatesTEChargersBroncos11.9
79.Marc BulgerQBRamsSteelers11.8
80.Roddy WhiteWRFalconsCardinals11.7
81.JaguarsDEFRaiders11.5
82.Amani ToomerWRGiantsBills11.5
83.Derrick MasonWRRavensSeahawks11.5
84.Lee EvansWRBillsGiants11.3
85.Nate KaedingKChargersBroncos11.0
86.Andre JohnsonWRTexansColts10.9
87.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsTitans10.8
88.Chester TaylorRBVikingsRedskins10.8
89.Nick FolkKCowboysPanthers10.7
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
90.Torry HoltWRRamsSteelers10.5
91.Bernard BerrianWRBearsPackers10.3
92.Josh ScobeeKJaguarsRaiders10.2
93.Deion BranchWRSeahawksRavens10.1
94.Hines WardWRSteelersRams10.1
95.Dennis NorthcuttWRJaguarsRaiders10.0
96.Ike HilliardWRBuccaneers49ers10.0
97.Mason CrosbyKPackersBears9.9
98.Jason ElamKBroncosChargers9.8
99.Julius JonesRBCowboysPanthers9.7
100.DeShaun FosterRBPanthersCowboys9.5
101.Calvin JohnsonWRLionsChiefs9.4
102.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsDolphins9.4
103.Josh McCownQBRaidersJaguars9.3
104.Neil RackersKCardinalsFalcons9.3
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
105.Matt MooreQBPanthersCowboys9.1
106.Arnaz BattleWR49ersBuccaneers9.1
107.Reggie WilliamsWRJaguarsRaiders9.0
108.Justin GageWRTitansJets9.0
109.Josh BrownKSeahawksRavens8.9
110.Mike FurreyWRLionsChiefs8.8
111.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersRams8.7
112.Cleo LemonQBDolphinsPatriots8.7
113.Roydell WilliamsWRTitansJets8.7
114.Chris ChambersWRChargersBroncos8.7
115.Maurice MorrisRBSeahawksRavens8.6
116.Jason HansonKLionsChiefs8.6
117.Jeff ReedKSteelersRams8.6
118.Greg JenningsWRPackersBears8.6
119.Shayne GrahamKBengalsBrowns8.6
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
120.John CarneyKChiefsLions8.5
121.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawksRavens8.5
122.Ronald CurryWRRaidersJaguars8.4
123.Jerry PorterWRRaidersJaguars8.4
124.Phil DawsonKBrownsBengals8.4
125.David AkersKEaglesSaints8.3
126.Steve SmithWRPanthersCowboys8.2
127.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsFalcons8.2
128.Heath MillerTESteelersRams8.1
129.Sidney RiceWRVikingsRedskins7.9
130.Chris CooleyTERedskinsVikings7.9
131.Reggie BrownWREaglesSaints7.9
132.Donte' StallworthWRPatriotsDolphins7.9
133.Ryan LongwellKVikingsRedskins7.8
134.Antwaan Randle ElWRRedskinsVikings7.8
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
135.DeDe DorseyRBBengalsBrowns7.7
136.Ron DayneRBTexansColts7.7
137.ChargersDEFBroncos7.7
138.Mike NugentKJetsTitans7.7
139.SteelersDEFRams7.6
140.PackersDEFBears7.5
141.ColtsDEFTexans7.5
142.David PattenWRSaintsEagles7.5
143.James JonesWRPackersBears7.5
144.CowboysDEFPanthers7.5
145.Marcedes LewisTEJaguarsRaiders7.5
146.Matt StoverKRavensSeahawks7.3
147.Joe JureviciusWRBrownsBengals7.3
148.BuccaneersDEF49ers7.2
149.Dallas ClarkTEColtsTexans7.1
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
150.LaMont JordanRBRaidersJaguars7.1
151.Laveranues ColesWRJetsTitans7.1
152.Martin GramaticaKSaintsEagles7.1
153.Shaun SuishamKRedskinsVikings7.1
154.Robbie GouldKBearsPackers7.1
155.ChiefsDEFLions7.0
156.Darrell JacksonWR49ersBuccaneers7.0
157.SeahawksDEFRavens7.0
158.CardinalsDEFFalcons6.9
159.VikingsDEFRedskins6.9
160.Kevin WalterWRTexansColts6.8
161.Rian LindellKBillsGiants6.7
162.GiantsDEFBills6.7
163.Josh ReedWRBillsGiants6.7
164.Jeff WilkinsKRamsSteelers6.7
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
165.Jerious NorwoodRBFalconsCardinals6.7
166.Matt BryantKBuccaneers49ers6.6
167.Ernest WilfordWRJaguarsRaiders6.6
168.Santana MossWRRedskinsVikings6.5
169.LionsDEFChiefs6.5
170.Muhsin MuhammadWRBearsPackers6.5
171.BillsDEFGiants6.4
172.EaglesDEFSaints6.3
173.TitansDEFJets6.3
174.Rudi JohnsonRBBengalsBrowns6.3
175.Marvin HarrisonWRColtsTexans6.3
176.John KasayKPanthersCowboys6.3
177.Michael JenkinsWRFalconsCardinals6.2
178.Brandon StokleyWRBroncosChargers6.2
179.Nate BurlesonWRSeahawksRavens6.1
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
180.Lawrence TynesKGiantsBills6.1
181.Donald LeeTEPackersBears6.0
182.Bobby WadeWRVikingsRedskins6.0
183.Vernon DavisTE49ersBuccaneers6.0
184.Rob BironasKTitansJets6.0
185.Kevin FaulkRBPatriotsDolphins6.0
186.Owen DanielsTETexansColts5.9
187.Travis HenryRBBroncosChargers5.9
188.Kris BrownKTexansColts5.9
189.Patrick CraytonWRCowboysPanthers5.8
190.JetsDEFTitans5.8
191.Bo ScaifeTETitansJets5.8
192.Kenton KeithRBColtsTexans5.8
193.Bryant JohnsonWRCardinalsFalcons5.7
194.Vincent JacksonWRChargersBroncos5.7
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
195.Morten AndersenKFalconsCardinals5.6
196.Anthony GonzalezWRColtsTexans5.6
197.Joe NedneyK49ersBuccaneers5.6
198.RamsDEFSteelers5.5
199.Chris HenryWRBengalsBrowns5.5
200.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaidersJaguars5.4

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving or rushing are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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