Week 16 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 16 in Fantasy Football

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

December 18th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback	Running Back	Wide Receiver	Tight End
Kicker	Team Defense	Individual Defense

Overall rankings

	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
1.	Tom Brady	QB	Patriots	Dolphins	30.8
2.	Brian Westbrook	RB	Eagles	Saints	25.5
3.	Matt Hasselbeck	QB	Seahawks	Ravens	25.0
4.	Derek Anderson	QB	Browns	Bengals	24.2
5.	David Garrard	QB	Jaguars	Raiders	24.1
6.	Jeff Garcia	QB	Buccaneers	49ers	23.2
7.	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	Chargers	Broncos	22.8
8.	Brett Favre	QB	Packers	Bears	22.4
9.	Donovan McNabb	QB	Eagles	Saints	21.8
10.	Ryan Grant	RB	Packers	Bears	21.7
11.	Jon Kitna	QB	Lions	Chiefs	21.4
12.	Kurt Warner	QB	Cardinals	Falcons	21.3
13.	Drew Brees	QB	Saints	Eagles	21.2
14.	Peyton Manning	QB	Colts	Texans	21.1
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
15.	Tony Romo	QB	Cowboys	Panthers	20.7
16.	Carson Palmer	QB	Bengals	Browns	20.3
17.	Ben Roethlisberger	QB	Steelers	Rams	20.3
18.	Earnest Graham	RB	Buccaneers	49ers	19.9
19.	Philip Rivers	QB	Chargers	Broncos	19.1
20.	Edgerrin James	RB	Cardinals	Falcons	18.7
21.	Willie Parker	RB	Steelers	Rams	18.7
22.	Jamal Lewis	RB	Browns	Bengals	18.4
23.	Kevin Jones	RB	Lions	Chiefs	18.4
24.	Vince Young	QB	Titans	Jets	18.4
25.	Frank Gore	RB	49ers	Buccaneers	18.0
26.	Willis McGahee	RB	Ravens	Seahawks	18.0
27.	Joseph Addai	RB	Colts	Texans	18.0
28.	Brodie Croyle	QB	Chiefs	Lions	17.1
29.	Marion Barber	RB	Cowboys	Panthers	16.5
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
30.	Eli Manning	QB	Giants	Bills	16.4
31.	Shaun Hill	QB	49ers	Buccaneers	16.3
32.	Laurence Maroney	RB	Patriots	Dolphins	16.1
33.	Fred Taylor	RB	Jaguars	Raiders	16.1
34.	Todd Collins	QB	Redskins	Vikings	16.0
35.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Vikings	Redskins	15.6
36.	Jay Cutler	QB	Broncos	Chargers	15.5
37.	Randy Moss	WR	Patriots	Dolphins	15.5
38.	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	Cardinals	Falcons	15.3
39.	Bobby Engram	WR	Seahawks	Ravens	15.2
40.	Chris Redman	QB	Falcons	Cardinals	15.2
41.	Kyle Orton	QB	Bears	Packers	15.0
42.	Braylon Edwards	WR	Browns	Bengals	14.9
43.	Reggie Wayne	WR	Colts	Texans	14.6
44.	Marques Colston	WR	Saints	Eagles	14.6
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
45.	Kolby Smith	RB	Chiefs	Lions	14.2
46.	Chad Pennington	QB	Jets	Titans	14.2
47.	Brandon Jacobs	RB	Giants	Bills	14.0
48.	Thomas Jones	RB	Jets	Titans	14.0
49.	Steven Jackson	RB	Rams	Steelers	13.9
50.	Plaxico Burress	WR	Giants	Bills	13.9
51.	Brandon Marshall	WR	Broncos	Chargers	13.8
52.	Patriots	DEF		Dolphins	13.8
53.	Chad Johnson	WR	Bengals	Browns	13.8
54.	Joey Galloway	WR	Buccaneers	49ers	13.7
55.	Sage Rosenfels	QB	Texans	Colts	13.6
56.	Shaun McDonald	WR	Lions	Chiefs	13.5
57.	Trent Edwards	QB	Bills	Giants	13.4
58.	Terrell Owens	WR	Cowboys	Panthers	13.3
59.	Aaron Stecker	RB	Saints	Eagles	13.3
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
60.	Clinton Portis	RB	Redskins	Vikings	13.2
61.	Maurice Jones-Drew	RB	Jaguars	Raiders	13.0
62.	Warrick Dunn	RB	Falcons	Cardinals	13.0
63.	Tarvaris Jackson	QB	Vikings	Redskins	13.0
64.	Donald Driver	WR	Packers	Bears	12.9
65.	Wes Welker	WR	Patriots	Dolphins	12.7
66.	T.J. Houshmandzadeh	WR	Bengals	Browns	12.7
67.	Kellen Winslow	TE	Browns	Bengals	12.5
68.	Kevin Curtis	WR	Eagles	Saints	12.4
69.	Jason Witten	TE	Cowboys	Panthers	12.4
70.	Selvin Young	RB	Broncos	Chargers	12.3
71.	Marshawn Lynch	RB	Bills	Giants	12.3
72.	Dwayne Bowe	WR	Chiefs	Lions	12.2
73.	LenDale White	RB	Titans	Jets	12.1
74.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Bears	Packers	12.1
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
75.	Kyle Boller	QB	Ravens	Seahawks	12.0
76.	Tony Gonzalez	TE	Chiefs	Lions	12.0
77.	Adam Vinatieri	K	Colts	Texans	11.9
78.	Antonio Gates	TE	Chargers	Broncos	11.9
79.	Marc Bulger	QB	Rams	Steelers	11.8
80.	Roddy White	WR	Falcons	Cardinals	11.7
81.	Jaguars	DEF		Raiders	11.5
82.	Amani Toomer	WR	Giants	Bills	11.5
83.	Derrick Mason	WR	Ravens	Seahawks	11.5
84.	Lee Evans	WR	Bills	Giants	11.3
85.	Nate Kaeding	K	Chargers	Broncos	11.0
86.	Andre Johnson	WR	Texans	Colts	10.9
87.	Jerricho Cotchery	WR	Jets	Titans	10.8
88.	Chester Taylor	RB	Vikings	Redskins	10.8
89.	Nick Folk	K	Cowboys	Panthers	10.7
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
90.	Torry Holt	WR	Rams	Steelers	10.5
91.	Bernard Berrian	WR	Bears	Packers	10.3
92.	Josh Scobee	K	Jaguars	Raiders	10.2
93.	Deion Branch	WR	Seahawks	Ravens	10.1
94.	Hines Ward	WR	Steelers	Rams	10.1
95.	Dennis Northcutt	WR	Jaguars	Raiders	10.0
96.	Ike Hilliard	WR	Buccaneers	49ers	10.0
97.	Mason Crosby	K	Packers	Bears	9.9
98.	Jason Elam	K	Broncos	Chargers	9.8
99.	Julius Jones	RB	Cowboys	Panthers	9.7
100.	DeShaun Foster	RB	Panthers	Cowboys	9.5
101.	Calvin Johnson	WR	Lions	Chiefs	9.4
102.	Stephen Gostkowski	K	Patriots	Dolphins	9.4
103.	Josh McCown	QB	Raiders	Jaguars	9.3
104.	Neil Rackers	K	Cardinals	Falcons	9.3
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
105.	Matt Moore	QB	Panthers	Cowboys	9.1
106.	Arnaz Battle	WR	49ers	Buccaneers	9.1
107.	Reggie Williams	WR	Jaguars	Raiders	9.0
108.	Justin Gage	WR	Titans	Jets	9.0
109.	Josh Brown	K	Seahawks	Ravens	8.9
110.	Mike Furrey	WR	Lions	Chiefs	8.8
111.	Santonio Holmes	WR	Steelers	Rams	8.7
112.	Cleo Lemon	QB	Dolphins	Patriots	8.7
113.	Roydell Williams	WR	Titans	Jets	8.7
114.	Chris Chambers	WR	Chargers	Broncos	8.7
115.	Maurice Morris	RB	Seahawks	Ravens	8.6
116.	Jason Hanson	K	Lions	Chiefs	8.6
117.	Jeff Reed	K	Steelers	Rams	8.6
118.	Greg Jennings	WR	Packers	Bears	8.6
119.	Shayne Graham	K	Bengals	Browns	8.6
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
120.	John Carney	K	Chiefs	Lions	8.5
121.	Shaun Alexander	RB	Seahawks	Ravens	8.5
122.	Ronald Curry	WR	Raiders	Jaguars	8.4
123.	Jerry Porter	WR	Raiders	Jaguars	8.4
124.	Phil Dawson	K	Browns	Bengals	8.4
125.	David Akers	K	Eagles	Saints	8.3
126.	Steve Smith	WR	Panthers	Cowboys	8.2
127.	Anquan Boldin	WR	Cardinals	Falcons	8.2
128.	Heath Miller	TE	Steelers	Rams	8.1
129.	Sidney Rice	WR	Vikings	Redskins	7.9
130.	Chris Cooley	TE	Redskins	Vikings	7.9
131.	Reggie Brown	WR	Eagles	Saints	7.9
132.	Donte' Stallworth	WR	Patriots	Dolphins	7.9
133.	Ryan Longwell	K	Vikings	Redskins	7.8
134.	Antwaan Randle El	WR	Redskins	Vikings	7.8
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
135.	DeDe Dorsey	RB	Bengals	Browns	7.7
136.	Ron Dayne	RB	Texans	Colts	7.7
137.	Chargers	DEF		Broncos	7.7
138.	Mike Nugent	K	Jets	Titans	7.7
139.	Steelers	DEF		Rams	7.6
140.	Packers	DEF		Bears	7.5
141.	Colts	DEF		Texans	7.5
142.	David Patten	WR	Saints	Eagles	7.5
143.	James Jones	WR	Packers	Bears	7.5
144.	Cowboys	DEF		Panthers	7.5
145.	Marcedes Lewis	TE	Jaguars	Raiders	7.5
146.	Matt Stover	K	Ravens	Seahawks	7.3
147.	Joe Jurevicius	WR	Browns	Bengals	7.3
148.	Buccaneers	DEF		49ers	7.2
149.	Dallas Clark	TE	Colts	Texans	7.1
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
150.	LaMont Jordan	RB	Raiders	Jaguars	7.1
151.	Laveranues Coles	WR	Jets	Titans	7.1
152.	Martin Gramatica	K	Saints	Eagles	7.1
153.	Shaun Suisham	K	Redskins	Vikings	7.1
154.	Robbie Gould	K	Bears	Packers	7.1
155.	Chiefs	DEF		Lions	7.0
156.	Darrell Jackson	WR	49ers	Buccaneers	7.0
157.	Seahawks	DEF		Ravens	7.0
158.	Cardinals	DEF		Falcons	6.9
159.	Vikings	DEF		Redskins	6.9
160.	Kevin Walter	WR	Texans	Colts	6.8
161.	Rian Lindell	K	Bills	Giants	6.7
162.	Giants	DEF		Bills	6.7
163.	Josh Reed	WR	Bills	Giants	6.7
164.	Jeff Wilkins	K	Rams	Steelers	6.7
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
165.	Jerious Norwood	RB	Falcons	Cardinals	6.7
166.	Matt Bryant	K	Buccaneers	49ers	6.6
167.	Ernest Wilford	WR	Jaguars	Raiders	6.6
168.	Santana Moss	WR	Redskins	Vikings	6.5
169.	Lions	DEF		Chiefs	6.5
170.	Muhsin Muhammad	WR	Bears	Packers	6.5
171.	Bills	DEF		Giants	6.4
172.	Eagles	DEF		Saints	6.3
173.	Titans	DEF		Jets	6.3
174.	Rudi Johnson	RB	Bengals	Browns	6.3
175.	Marvin Harrison	WR	Colts	Texans	6.3
176.	John Kasay	K	Panthers	Cowboys	6.3
177.	Michael Jenkins	WR	Falcons	Cardinals	6.2
178.	Brandon Stokley	WR	Broncos	Chargers	6.2
179.	Nate Burleson	WR	Seahawks	Ravens	6.1
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
180.	Lawrence Tynes	K	Giants	Bills	6.1
181.	Donald Lee	TE	Packers	Bears	6.0
182.	Bobby Wade	WR	Vikings	Redskins	6.0
183.	Vernon Davis	TE	49ers	Buccaneers	6.0
184.	Rob Bironas	K	Titans	Jets	6.0
185.	Kevin Faulk	RB	Patriots	Dolphins	6.0
186.	Owen Daniels	TE	Texans	Colts	5.9
187.	Travis Henry	RB	Broncos	Chargers	5.9
188.	Kris Brown	K	Texans	Colts	5.9
189.	Patrick Crayton	WR	Cowboys	Panthers	5.8
190.	Jets	DEF		Titans	5.8
191.	Bo Scaife	TE	Titans	Jets	5.8
192.	Kenton Keith	RB	Colts	Texans	5.8
193.	Bryant Johnson	WR	Cardinals	Falcons	5.7
194.	Vincent Jackson	WR	Chargers	Broncos	5.7
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
195.	Morten Andersen	K	Falcons	Cardinals	5.6
196.	Anthony Gonzalez	WR	Colts	Texans	5.6
197.	Joe Nedney	K	49ers	Buccaneers	5.6
198.	Rams	DEF		Steelers	5.5
199.	Chris Henry	WR	Bengals	Browns	5.5
200.	Sebastian Janikowski	K	Raiders	Jaguars	5.4

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving or rushing are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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