Week 5 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 5 in Fantasy Football
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 2nd, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense


Overall rankings

 NamePosTeamOppPoints
1.Tony RomoQBCowboysBills32.2
2.Tom BradyQBPatriotsBrowns26.0
3.Jon KitnaQBLionsRedskins23.9
4.Matt SchaubQBTexansDolphins23.2
5.Derrick WardRBGiantsJets23.2
6.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinalsRams22.9
7.Vince YoungQBTitansFalcons22.9
8.Brett FavreQBPackersBears20.9
9.David CarrQBPanthersSaints20.4
10.Randy MossWRPatriotsBrowns20.1
11.Joseph AddaiRBColtsBuccaneers19.9
12.Peyton ManningQBColtsBuccaneers19.8
13.Matt LeinartQBCardinalsRams19.6
14.Chad PenningtonQBJetsGiants18.7
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
15.Eli ManningQBGiantsJets18.7
16.Ronnie BrownRBDolphinsTexans17.6
17.David GarrardQBJaguarsChiefs17.6
18.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsRams17.5
19.Reggie BushRBSaintsPanthers17.3
20.Travis HenryRBBroncosChargers17.2
21.Jay CutlerQBBroncosChargers17.1
22.Terrell OwensWRCowboysBills17.0
23.Willis McGaheeRBRavens49ers16.8
24.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsGiants16.7
25.Jason CampbellQBRedskinsLions16.5
26.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersSeahawks16.5
27.Drew BreesQBSaintsPanthers16.4
28.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsRams16.2
29.Frank GoreRB49ersRavens16.0
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
30.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawksSteelers15.7
31.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriotsBrowns15.6
32.Trent DilferQB49ersRavens15.4
33.Steve McNairQBRavens49ers15.3
34.Marshawn LynchRBBillsCowboys15.3
35.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosChargers14.9
36.Trent GreenQBDolphinsTexans14.7
37.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargersBroncos14.5
38.Damon HuardQBChiefsJaguars14.4
39.Michael PittmanRBBuccaneersColts14.2
40.Jason WittenTECowboysBills14.1
41.Trent EdwardsQBBillsCowboys14.0
42.Marion Barber IIIRBCowboysBills14.0
43.DeShaun FosterRBPanthersSaints13.9
44.Willie ParkerRBSteelersSeahawks13.8
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
45.Reggie WayneWRColtsBuccaneers13.7
46.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneersColts13.5
47.Steve SmithWRPanthersSaints13.5
48.Joey HarringtonQBFalconsTitans13.5
49.Philip RiversQBChargersBroncos13.3
50.Larry JohnsonRBChiefsJaguars13.2
51.Sammy MorrisRBPatriotsBrowns13.2
52.Jamal LewisRBBrownsPatriots13.0
53.Marc BulgerQBRamsCardinals13.0
54.Darrell JacksonWR49ersRavens12.9
55.Tatum BellRBLionsRedskins12.5
56.Torry HoltWRRamsCardinals12.4
57.Andre JohnsonWRTexansDolphins12.3
58.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawksSteelers12.2
59.Plaxico BurressWRGiantsJets12.0
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
60.Donald DriverWRPackersBears11.9
61.Brian GrieseQBBearsPackers11.9
62.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersSeahawks11.9
63.Roy WilliamsWRLionsRedskins11.8
64.Antonio GatesTEChargersBroncos11.7
65.Adam VinatieriKColtsBuccaneers11.6
66.Marques ColstonWRSaintsPanthers11.3
67.Cedric BensonRBBearsPackers11.3
68.Deion BranchWRSeahawksSteelers11.2
69.Thomas JonesRBJetsGiants11.1
70.Nick FolkKCowboysBills10.6
71.Ahman GreenRBTexansDolphins10.5
72.PatriotsDEFBrowns10.4
73.Brian LeonardRBRamsCardinals10.4
74.Chris ChambersWRDolphinsTexans10.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
75.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsJaguars10.4
76.John KasayKPanthersSaints10.3
77.LenDale WhiteRBTitansFalcons10.2
78.Owen DanielsTETexansDolphins10.2
79.Earnest GrahamRBBuccaneersColts10.1
80.Roddy WhiteWRFalconsTitans10.1
81.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsBrowns9.7
82.Dennis NorthcuttWRJaguarsChiefs9.7
83.Jason ElamKBroncosChargers9.7
84.Julius JonesRBCowboysBills9.6
85.Clinton PortisRBRedskinsLions9.4
86.Derrick MasonWRRavens49ers9.4
87.TitansDEFFalcons9.4
88.Bernard BerrianWRBearsPackers9.3
89.Santana MossWRRedskinsLions9.3
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
90.Patrick CraytonWRCowboysBills9.3
91.Neil RackersKCardinalsRams9.2
92.Kurt WarnerQBCardinalsRams9.2
93.Brandon StokleyWRBroncosChargers9.2
94.Matt StoverKRavens49ers9.1
95.Bobby EngramWRSeahawksSteelers9.0
96.Joey GallowayWRBuccaneersColts8.9
97.Braylon EdwardsWRBrownsPatriots8.9
98.Warrick DunnRBFalconsTitans8.8
99.Robbie GouldKBearsPackers8.8
100.Chris BrownRBTitansFalcons8.8
101.Tony GonzalezTEChiefsJaguars8.6
102.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsBrowns8.5
103.Derek AndersonQBBrownsPatriots8.5
104.GiantsDEFJets8.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
105.Anthony GonzalezWRColtsBuccaneers8.4
106.Jeremy ShockeyTEGiantsJets8.3
107.Rob BironasKTitansFalcons8.3
108.Selvin YoungRBBroncosChargers8.3
109.Rian LindellKBillsCowboys8.2
110.Heath MillerTESteelersSeahawks8.2
111.Kris BrownKTexansDolphins8.1
112.Ike HilliardWRBuccaneersColts8.1
113.Amani ToomerWRGiantsJets8.1
114.SteelersDEFSeahawks8.1
115.Nate KaedingKChargersBroncos8.1
116.Brandon JonesWRTitansFalcons8.0
117.Isaac BruceWRRamsCardinals8.0
118.James JonesWRPackersBears7.9
119.JaguarsDEFChiefs7.9
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
120.Laveranues ColesWRJetsGiants7.8
121.Olindo MareKSaintsPanthers7.8
122.Calvin JohnsonWRLionsRedskins7.8
123.Mike FurreyWRLionsRedskins7.8
124.Dallas ClarkTEColtsBuccaneers7.8
125.Jason HansonKLionsRedskins7.7
126.Arnaz BattleWR49ersRavens7.7
127.BroncosDEFChargers7.7
128.Jeff WilkinsKRamsCardinals7.6
129.CowboysDEFBills7.6
130.Mike NugentKJetsGiants7.5
131.Josh BrownKSeahawksSteelers7.4
132.Chris CooleyTERedskinsLions7.4
133.Jay FeelyKDolphinsTexans7.4
134.LionsDEFRedskins7.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
135.Vincent JacksonWRChargersBroncos7.3
136.Demetrius WilliamsWRRavens49ers7.2
137.RavensDEF49ers7.2
138.Josh ReedWRBillsCowboys7.1
139.Mason CrosbyKPackersBears7.0
140.Joe NedneyK49ersRavens7.0
141.CardinalsDEFRams6.9
142.Shaun McDonaldWRLionsRedskins6.9
143.Roscoe ParrishWRBillsCowboys6.9
144.Marcedes LewisTEJaguarsChiefs6.8
145.Dave RaynerKChiefsJaguars6.8
146.Ladell BettsRBRedskinsLions6.7
147.Fred TaylorRBJaguarsChiefs6.6
148.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthersSaints6.5
149.Ron DayneRBTexansDolphins6.5
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
150.BearsDEFPackers6.4
151.Jeff KingTEPanthersSaints6.3
152.John CarneyKJaguarsChiefs6.3
153.Marty BookerWRDolphinsTexans6.3
154.Nate BurlesonWRSeahawksSteelers6.3
155.Matt BryantKBuccaneersColts6.2
156.SeahawksDEFSteelers6.2
157.PackersDEFBears6.2
158.Lawrence TynesKGiantsJets6.2
159.ChiefsDEFJaguars6.1
160.TexansDEFDolphins6.0
161.Kellen WinslowTEBrownsPatriots6.0
162.Lee EvansWRBillsCowboys5.6
163.Jeff ReedKSteelersSeahawks5.6
164.Greg JenningsWRPackersBears5.5
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
165.Morten AndersenKFalconsTitans5.5
166.David PattenWRSaintsPanthers5.5
167.Vernand MorencyRBPackersBears5.5
168.ColtsDEFBuccaneers5.4
169.49ersDEFRavens5.3
170.Donte' StallworthWRPatriotsBrowns5.3
171.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguarsChiefs5.2
172.Shaun SuishamKRedskinsLions5.2
173.Kevin WalterWRTexansDolphins5.2
174.DeShawn WynnRBPackersBears5.2
175.Donald LeeTEPackersBears5.1
176.Desmond ClarkTEBearsPackers5.1
177.Alge CrumplerTEFalconsTitans5.0
178.Roydell WilliamsWRTitansFalcons5.0
179.Musa SmithRBRavens49ers5.0
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
180.PanthersDEFSaints4.9
181.Bo ScaifeTETitansFalcons4.9
182.Quinn SypniewskiTERavens49ers4.9
183.Keary ColbertWRPanthersSaints4.9
184.Ernest WilfordWRJaguarsChiefs4.8
185.Randy McMichaelTERamsCardinals4.8
186.Phil DawsonKBrownsPatriots4.8
187.Michael JenkinsWRFalconsTitans4.6
188.Jameel CookRBTexansDolphins4.6
189.Hines WardWRSteelersSeahawks4.6
190.Adrian PetersonRBBearsPackers4.5
191.Brandon LloydWRRedskinsLions4.5
192.Bryan FletcherTEColtsBuccaneers4.5
193.Benjamin WatsonTEPatriotsBrowns4.4
194.Jesse ChatmanRBDolphinsTexans4.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
195.Leonard PopeTECardinalsRams4.3
196.RedskinsDEFLions4.3
197.Drew CarterWRPanthersSaints4.3
198.Sam HurdWRCowboysBills4.2
199.Bryant JohnsonWRCardinalsRams4.2
200.ChargersDEFBroncos4.1

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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