Week 5 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 5 in Fantasy Football

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

October 2nd, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback	Running Back	Wide Receiver	Tight End
Kicker	Team Defense	Individual Defense

Overall rankings

	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
1.	Tony Romo	QB	Cowboys	Bills	32.2
2.	Tom Brady	QB	Patriots	Browns	26.0
3.	Jon Kitna	QB	Lions	Redskins	23.9
4.	Matt Schaub	QB	Texans	Dolphins	23.2
5.	Derrick Ward	RB	Giants	Jets	23.2
6.	Edgerrin James	RB	Cardinals	Rams	22.9
7.	Vince Young	QB	Titans	Falcons	22.9
8.	Brett Favre	QB	Packers	Bears	20.9
9.	David Carr	QB	Panthers	Saints	20.4
10.	Randy Moss	WR	Patriots	Browns	20.1
11.	Joseph Addai	RB	Colts	Buccaneers	19.9
12.	Peyton Manning	QB	Colts	Buccaneers	19.8
13.	Matt Leinart	QB	Cardinals	Rams	19.6
14.	Chad Pennington	QB	Jets	Giants	18.7
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
15.	Eli Manning	QB	Giants	Jets	18.7
16.	Ronnie Brown	RB	Dolphins	Texans	17.6
17.	David Garrard	QB	Jaguars	Chiefs	17.6
18.	Anquan Boldin	WR	Cardinals	Rams	17.5
19.	Reggie Bush	RB	Saints	Panthers	17.3
20.	Travis Henry	RB	Broncos	Chargers	17.2
21.	Jay Cutler	QB	Broncos	Chargers	17.1
22.	Terrell Owens	WR	Cowboys	Bills	17.0
23.	Willis McGahee	RB	Ravens	49ers	16.8
24.	Jerricho Cotchery	WR	Jets	Giants	16.7
25.	Jason Campbell	QB	Redskins	Lions	16.5
26.	Ben Roethlisberger	QB	Steelers	Seahawks	16.5
27.	Drew Brees	QB	Saints	Panthers	16.4
28.	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	Cardinals	Rams	16.2
29.	Frank Gore	RB	49ers	Ravens	16.0
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
30.	Matt Hasselbeck	QB	Seahawks	Steelers	15.7
31.	Laurence Maroney	RB	Patriots	Browns	15.6
32.	Trent Dilfer	QB	49ers	Ravens	15.4
33.	Steve McNair	QB	Ravens	49ers	15.3
34.	Marshawn Lynch	RB	Bills	Cowboys	15.3
35.	Brandon Marshall	WR	Broncos	Chargers	14.9
36.	Trent Green	QB	Dolphins	Texans	14.7
37.	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	Chargers	Broncos	14.5
38.	Damon Huard	QB	Chiefs	Jaguars	14.4
39.	Michael Pittman	RB	Buccaneers	Colts	14.2
40.	Jason Witten	TE	Cowboys	Bills	14.1
41.	Trent Edwards	QB	Bills	Cowboys	14.0
42.	Marion Barber III	RB	Cowboys	Bills	14.0
43.	DeShaun Foster	RB	Panthers	Saints	13.9
44.	Willie Parker	RB	Steelers	Seahawks	13.8
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
45.	Reggie Wayne	WR	Colts	Buccaneers	13.7
46.	Jeff Garcia	QB	Buccaneers	Colts	13.5
47.	Steve Smith	WR	Panthers	Saints	13.5
48.	Joey Harrington	QB	Falcons	Titans	13.5
49.	Philip Rivers	QB	Chargers	Broncos	13.3
50.	Larry Johnson	RB	Chiefs	Jaguars	13.2
51.	Sammy Morris	RB	Patriots	Browns	13.2
52.	Jamal Lewis	RB	Browns	Patriots	13.0
53.	Marc Bulger	QB	Rams	Cardinals	13.0
54.	Darrell Jackson	WR	49ers	Ravens	12.9
55.	Tatum Bell	RB	Lions	Redskins	12.5
56.	Torry Holt	WR	Rams	Cardinals	12.4
57.	Andre Johnson	WR	Texans	Dolphins	12.3
58.	Shaun Alexander	RB	Seahawks	Steelers	12.2
59.	Plaxico Burress	WR	Giants	Jets	12.0
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
60.	Donald Driver	WR	Packers	Bears	11.9
61.	Brian Griese	QB	Bears	Packers	11.9
62.	Santonio Holmes	WR	Steelers	Seahawks	11.9
63.	Roy Williams	WR	Lions	Redskins	11.8
64.	Antonio Gates	TE	Chargers	Broncos	11.7
65.	Adam Vinatieri	K	Colts	Buccaneers	11.6
66.	Marques Colston	WR	Saints	Panthers	11.3
67.	Cedric Benson	RB	Bears	Packers	11.3
68.	Deion Branch	WR	Seahawks	Steelers	11.2
69.	Thomas Jones	RB	Jets	Giants	11.1
70.	Nick Folk	K	Cowboys	Bills	10.6
71.	Ahman Green	RB	Texans	Dolphins	10.5
72.	Patriots	DEF		Browns	10.4
73.	Brian Leonard	RB	Rams	Cardinals	10.4
74.	Chris Chambers	WR	Dolphins	Texans	10.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
75.	Dwayne Bowe	WR	Chiefs	Jaguars	10.4
76.	John Kasay	K	Panthers	Saints	10.3
77.	LenDale White	RB	Titans	Falcons	10.2
78.	Owen Daniels	TE	Texans	Dolphins	10.2
79.	Earnest Graham	RB	Buccaneers	Colts	10.1
80.	Roddy White	WR	Falcons	Titans	10.1
81.	Stephen Gostkowski	K	Patriots	Browns	9.7
82.	Dennis Northcutt	WR	Jaguars	Chiefs	9.7
83.	Jason Elam	K	Broncos	Chargers	9.7
84.	Julius Jones	RB	Cowboys	Bills	9.6
85.	Clinton Portis	RB	Redskins	Lions	9.4
86.	Derrick Mason	WR	Ravens	49ers	9.4
87.	Titans	DEF		Falcons	9.4
88.	Bernard Berrian	WR	Bears	Packers	9.3
89.	Santana Moss	WR	Redskins	Lions	9.3
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
90.	Patrick Crayton	WR	Cowboys	Bills	9.3
91.	Neil Rackers	K	Cardinals	Rams	9.2
92.	Kurt Warner	QB	Cardinals	Rams	9.2
93.	Brandon Stokley	WR	Broncos	Chargers	9.2
94.	Matt Stover	K	Ravens	49ers	9.1
95.	Bobby Engram	WR	Seahawks	Steelers	9.0
96.	Joey Galloway	WR	Buccaneers	Colts	8.9
97.	Braylon Edwards	WR	Browns	Patriots	8.9
98.	Warrick Dunn	RB	Falcons	Titans	8.8
99.	Robbie Gould	K	Bears	Packers	8.8
100.	Chris Brown	RB	Titans	Falcons	8.8
101.	Tony Gonzalez	TE	Chiefs	Jaguars	8.6
102.	Wes Welker	WR	Patriots	Browns	8.5
103.	Derek Anderson	QB	Browns	Patriots	8.5
104.	Giants	DEF		Jets	8.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
105.	Anthony Gonzalez	WR	Colts	Buccaneers	8.4
106.	Jeremy Shockey	TE	Giants	Jets	8.3
107.	Rob Bironas	K	Titans	Falcons	8.3
108.	Selvin Young	RB	Broncos	Chargers	8.3
109.	Rian Lindell	K	Bills	Cowboys	8.2
110.	Heath Miller	TE	Steelers	Seahawks	8.2
111.	Kris Brown	K	Texans	Dolphins	8.1
112.	Ike Hilliard	WR	Buccaneers	Colts	8.1
113.	Amani Toomer	WR	Giants	Jets	8.1
114.	Steelers	DEF		Seahawks	8.1
115.	Nate Kaeding	K	Chargers	Broncos	8.1
116.	Brandon Jones	WR	Titans	Falcons	8.0
117.	Isaac Bruce	WR	Rams	Cardinals	8.0
118.	James Jones	WR	Packers	Bears	7.9
119.	Jaguars	DEF		Chiefs	7.9
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
120.	Laveranues Coles	WR	Jets	Giants	7.8
121.	Olindo Mare	K	Saints	Panthers	7.8
122.	Calvin Johnson	WR	Lions	Redskins	7.8
123.	Mike Furrey	WR	Lions	Redskins	7.8
124.	Dallas Clark	TE	Colts	Buccaneers	7.8
125.	Jason Hanson	K	Lions	Redskins	7.7
126.	Arnaz Battle	WR	49ers	Ravens	7.7
127.	Broncos	DEF		Chargers	7.7
128.	Jeff Wilkins	K	Rams	Cardinals	7.6
129.	Cowboys	DEF		Bills	7.6
130.	Mike Nugent	K	Jets	Giants	7.5
131.	Josh Brown	K	Seahawks	Steelers	7.4
132.	Chris Cooley	TE	Redskins	Lions	7.4
133.	Jay Feely	K	Dolphins	Texans	7.4
134.	Lions	DEF		Redskins	7.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
135.	Vincent Jackson	WR	Chargers	Broncos	7.3
136.	Demetrius Williams	WR	Ravens	49ers	7.2
137.	Ravens	DEF		49ers	7.2
138.	Josh Reed	WR	Bills	Cowboys	7.1
139.	Mason Crosby	K	Packers	Bears	7.0
140.	Joe Nedney	K	49ers	Ravens	7.0
141.	Cardinals	DEF		Rams	6.9
142.	Shaun McDonald	WR	Lions	Redskins	6.9
143.	Roscoe Parrish	WR	Bills	Cowboys	6.9
144.	Marcedes Lewis	TE	Jaguars	Chiefs	6.8
145.	Dave Rayner	K	Chiefs	Jaguars	6.8
146.	Ladell Betts	RB	Redskins	Lions	6.7
147.	Fred Taylor	RB	Jaguars	Chiefs	6.6
148.	DeAngelo Williams	RB	Panthers	Saints	6.5
149.	Ron Dayne	RB	Texans	Dolphins	6.5
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
150.	Bears	DEF		Packers	6.4
151.	Jeff King	TE	Panthers	Saints	6.3
152.	John Carney	K	Jaguars	Chiefs	6.3
153.	Marty Booker	WR	Dolphins	Texans	6.3
154.	Nate Burleson	WR	Seahawks	Steelers	6.3
155.	Matt Bryant	K	Buccaneers	Colts	6.2
156.	Seahawks	DEF		Steelers	6.2
157.	Packers	DEF		Bears	6.2
158.	Lawrence Tynes	K	Giants	Jets	6.2
159.	Chiefs	DEF		Jaguars	6.1
160.	Texans	DEF		Dolphins	6.0
161.	Kellen Winslow	TE	Browns	Patriots	6.0
162.	Lee Evans	WR	Bills	Cowboys	5.6
163.	Jeff Reed	K	Steelers	Seahawks	5.6
164.	Greg Jennings	WR	Packers	Bears	5.5
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
165.	Morten Andersen	K	Falcons	Titans	5.5
166.	David Patten	WR	Saints	Panthers	5.5
167.	Vernand Morency	RB	Packers	Bears	5.5
168.	Colts	DEF		Buccaneers	5.4
169.	49ers	DEF		Ravens	5.3
170.	Donte' Stallworth	WR	Patriots	Browns	5.3
171.	Maurice Jones-Drew	RB	Jaguars	Chiefs	5.2
172.	Shaun Suisham	K	Redskins	Lions	5.2
173.	Kevin Walter	WR	Texans	Dolphins	5.2
174.	DeShawn Wynn	RB	Packers	Bears	5.2
175.	Donald Lee	TE	Packers	Bears	5.1
176.	Desmond Clark	TE	Bears	Packers	5.1
177.	Alge Crumpler	TE	Falcons	Titans	5.0
178.	Roydell Williams	WR	Titans	Falcons	5.0
179.	Musa Smith	RB	Ravens	49ers	5.0
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
180.	Panthers	DEF		Saints	4.9
181.	Bo Scaife	TE	Titans	Falcons	4.9
182.	Quinn Sypniewski	TE	Ravens	49ers	4.9
183.	Keary Colbert	WR	Panthers	Saints	4.9
184.	Ernest Wilford	WR	Jaguars	Chiefs	4.8
185.	Randy McMichael	TE	Rams	Cardinals	4.8
186.	Phil Dawson	K	Browns	Patriots	4.8
187.	Michael Jenkins	WR	Falcons	Titans	4.6
188.	Jameel Cook	RB	Texans	Dolphins	4.6
189.	Hines Ward	WR	Steelers	Seahawks	4.6
190.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Bears	Packers	4.5
191.	Brandon Lloyd	WR	Redskins	Lions	4.5
192.	Bryan Fletcher	TE	Colts	Buccaneers	4.5
193.	Benjamin Watson	TE	Patriots	Browns	4.4
194.	Jesse Chatman	RB	Dolphins	Texans	4.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
195.	Leonard Pope	TE	Cardinals	Rams	4.3
196.	Redskins	DEF		Lions	4.3
197.	Drew Carter	WR	Panthers	Saints	4.3
198.	Sam Hurd	WR	Cowboys	Bills	4.2
199.	Bryant Johnson	WR	Cardinals	Rams	4.2
200.	Chargers	DEF		Broncos	4.1

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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