Week 4 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 4 in Fantasy Football
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
September 25th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense


Overall rankings

 NamePosTeamOppPoints
1.Tony RomoQBCowboysRams33.8
2.Brian WestbrookRBEaglesGiants28.3
3.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersCardinals27.7
4.Chad PenningtonQBJetsBills27.2
5.Tom BradyQBPatriotsBengals25.1
6.Ronnie BrownRBDolphinsRaiders24.8
7.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawks49ers24.5
8.Willie ParkerRBSteelersCardinals24.3
9.Joseph AddaiRBColtsBroncos23.5
10.Thomas JonesRBJetsBills23.1
11.Peyton ManningQBColtsBroncos22.9
12.Jon KitnaQBLionsBears22.5
13.Willis McGaheeRBRavensBrowns22.3
14.Randy MossWRPatriotsBengals22.2
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
15.Donovan McNabbQBEaglesGiants21.8
16.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneersPanthers21.5
17.Derrick WardRBGiantsEagles21.4
18.LaMont JordanRBRaidersDolphins21.2
19.David CarrQBPanthersBuccaneers21.1
20.Rex GrossmanQBBearsLions21.1
21.Trent GreenQBDolphinsRaiders20.3
22.Daunte CulpepperQBRaidersDolphins19.7
23.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsBills19.6
24.Terrell OwensWRCowboysRams19.6
25.Brett FavreQBPackersVikings19.4
26.Joey GallowayWRBuccaneersPanthers19.0
27.Eli ManningQBGiantsEagles18.7
28.Derek AndersonQBBrownsRavens18.6
29.Joey HarringtonQBFalconsTexans18.3
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
30.Philip RiversQBChargersChiefs18.2
31.Matt SchaubQBTexansFalcons17.9
32.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriotsBengals17.8
33.Marion Barber IIIRBCowboysRams17.8
34.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawks49ers17.3
35.Damon HuardQBChiefsChargers16.7
36.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargersChiefs16.7
37.Alex SmithQB49ersSeahawks16.6
38.Marshawn LynchRBBillsJets16.2
39.Jason WittenTECowboysRams15.7
40.Steve SmithWRPanthersBuccaneers15.5
41.Chris ChambersWRDolphinsRaiders15.2
42.Trent EdwardsQBBillsJets15.2
43.Adrian PetersonRBVikingsPackers15.0
44.Cedric BensonRBBearsLions14.9
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
45.Bernard BerrianWRBearsLions14.8
46.Jamal LewisRBBrownsRavens14.7
47.DeShaun FosterRBPanthersBuccaneers14.6
48.Chad JohnsonWRBengalsPatriots14.2
49.Larry JohnsonRBChiefsChargers14.1
50.Frank GoreRB49ersSeahawks14.1
51.Kellen WinslowTEBrownsRavens14.0
52.Ahman GreenRBTexansFalcons13.9
53.Julius JonesRBCowboysRams13.8
54.Antonio GatesTEChargersChiefs13.7
55.Travis HenryRBBroncosColts13.7
56.Ronald CurryWRRaidersDolphins13.3
57.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinalsSteelers13.2
58.Jay CutlerQBBroncosColts13.2
59.Kevin CurtisWREaglesGiants12.9
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
60.Steve McNairQBRavensBrowns12.9
61.Roy WilliamsWRLionsBears12.7
62.Carson PalmerQBBengalsPatriots12.7
63.Laveranues ColesWRJetsBills12.6
64.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsSteelers12.4
65.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersCardinals12.2
66.Reggie WayneWRColtsBroncos12.1
67.Roddy WhiteWRFalconsTexans11.9
68.Bobby EngramWRSeahawks49ers11.8
69.Marvin HarrisonWRColtsBroncos11.8
70.CowboysDEFRams11.7
71.Plaxico BurressWRGiantsEagles11.6
72.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsBengals11.6
73.Nick FolkKCowboysRams11.3
74.Braylon EdwardsWRBrownsRavens11.2
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
75.Deion BranchWRSeahawks49ers11.0
76.Heath MillerTESteelersCardinals10.9
77.Adam VinatieriKColtsBroncos10.8
78.Warrick DunnRBFalconsTexans10.7
79.Darrell JacksonWR49ersSeahawks10.7
80.John KasayKPanthersBuccaneers10.5
81.Ike HilliardWRBuccaneersPanthers10.5
82.Javon WalkerWRBroncosColts10.4
83.Brandon JacksonRBPackersVikings10.2
84.Jeff ReedKSteelersCardinals10.1
85.Kelly HolcombQBVikingsPackers10.0
86.Derrick MasonWRRavensBrowns10.0
87.Matt LeinartQBCardinalsSteelers9.9
88.Mason CrosbyKPackersVikings9.9
89.Marc BulgerQBRamsCowboys9.9
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
90.Hines WardWRSteelersCardinals9.7
91.Donald DriverWRPackersVikings9.5
92.Sammy MorrisRBPatriotsBengals9.4
93.Tatum BellRBLionsBears9.4
94.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRBengalsPatriots9.3
95.PatriotsDEFBengals9.1
96.Brian LeonardRBRamsCowboys9.0
97.Torry HoltWRRamsCowboys9.0
98.Roscoe ParrishWRBillsJets8.9
99.Nate KaedingKChargersChiefs8.8
100.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosColts8.8
101.Jason HansonKLionsBears8.7
102.Desmond ClarkTEBearsLions8.6
103.Vincent JacksonWRChargersChiefs8.5
104.Nate BurlesonWRSeahawks49ers8.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
105.Calvin JohnsonWRLionsBears8.4
106.Shaun McDonaldWRLionsBears8.4
107.Robbie GouldKBearsLions8.3
108.Tony GonzalezTEChiefsChargers8.3
109.Jay FeelyKDolphinsRaiders8.3
110.Amani ToomerWRGiantsEagles8.3
111.Jeremy ShockeyTEGiantsEagles8.3
112.David AkersKEaglesGiants8.2
113.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaidersDolphins8.1
114.Marty BookerWRDolphinsRaiders8.1
115.Greg JenningsWRPackersVikings8.1
116.Ron DayneRBTexansFalcons8.0
117.Todd HeapTERavensBrowns8.0
118.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsSteelers8.0
119.Jason ElamKBroncosColts8.0
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
120.Dave RaynerKChiefsChargers7.9
121.SteelersDEFCardinals7.9
122.BearsDEFLions7.9
123.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsBengals7.9
124.Matt BryantKBuccaneersPanthers7.8
125.Matt StoverKRavensBrowns7.8
126.Alge CrumplerTEFalconsTexans7.7
127.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthersBuccaneers7.7
128.ChargersDEFChiefs7.7
129.Mike NugentKJetsBills7.7
130.Kris BrownKTexansFalcons7.6
131.Owen DanielsTETexansFalcons7.5
132.Isaac BruceWRRamsCowboys7.5
133.Kyle BollerQBRavensBrowns7.4
134.LionsDEFBears7.4
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
135.Rudi JohnsonRBBengalsPatriots7.4
136.Jeff KingTEPanthersBuccaneers7.3
137.Carnell WilliamsRBBuccaneersPanthers7.2
138.EaglesDEFGiants7.1
139.Josh BrownKSeahawks49ers7.1
140.Alex SmithTEBuccaneersPanthers7.0
141.ColtsDEFBroncos6.9
142.Arnaz BattleWR49ersSeahawks6.9
143.Morten AndersenKFalconsTexans6.8
144.James JonesWRPackersVikings6.8
145.ChiefsDEFChargers6.8
146.Dallas ClarkTEColtsBroncos6.7
147.Jerry PorterWRRaidersDolphins6.7
148.PanthersDEFBuccaneers6.5
149.Bobby WadeWRVikingsPackers6.5
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
150.Neil RackersKCardinalsSteelers6.4
151.Anthony GonzalezWRColtsBroncos6.4
152.Lawrence TynesKGiantsEagles6.4
153.Jerious NorwoodRBFalconsTexans6.4
154.Ryan LongwellKVikingsPackers6.3
155.RavensDEFBrowns6.2
156.SeahawksDEF49ers6.1
157.Phil DawsonKBrownsRavens6.1
158.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsChargers6.1
159.Jesse ChatmanRBDolphinsRaiders6.0
160.Joe JureviciusWRBrownsRavens6.0
161.Demetrius WilliamsWRRavensBrowns6.0
162.Greg OlsenTEBearsLions5.9
163.Joe NedneyK49ersSeahawks5.8
164.Sam HurdWRCowboysRams5.8
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
165.Patrick CraytonWRCowboysRams5.8
166.49ersDEFSeahawks5.6
167.Rian LindellKBillsJets5.5
168.Jameel CookRBTexansFalcons5.5
169.Mike FurreyWRLionsBears5.5
170.PackersDEFVikings5.3
171.John MadsenTERaidersDolphins5.3
172.DolphinsDEFRaiders5.3
173.TexansDEFFalcons5.3
174.JetsDEFBills5.3
175.Lee EvansWRBillsJets5.3
176.Selvin YoungRBBroncosColts5.2
177.Peerless PriceWRBillsJets5.2
178.Jeff WilkinsKRamsCowboys5.2
179.Kevin WalterWRTexansFalcons5.2
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
180.Drew CarterWRPanthersBuccaneers5.2
181.VikingsDEFPackers5.1
182.Vonta LeachRBTexansFalcons5.1
183.Reggie BrownWREaglesGiants5.0
184.Mack StrongRBSeahawks49ers4.9
185.Samie ParkerWRChiefsChargers4.9
186.Nate WashingtonWRSteelersCardinals4.9
187.Mark ClaytonWRRavensBrowns4.9
188.Mewelde MooreRBVikingsPackers4.9
189.Brandon StokleyWRBroncosColts4.7
190.Vernon DavisTE49ersSeahawks4.7
191.Randy McMichaelTERamsCowboys4.7
192.Shayne GrahamKBengalsPatriots4.6
193.Michael PittmanRBBuccaneersPanthers4.5
194.Joe HornWRFalconsTexans4.5
 NamePosTeamOppPoints
195.Donald LeeTEPackersVikings4.5
196.DeShawn WynnRBPackersVikings4.5
197.Justin FargasRBRaidersDolphins4.5
198.Brad SmithWRJetsBills4.4
199.Kevin JonesRBLionsBears4.3
200.Jeff WebbWRChiefsChargers4.3

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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