LT and then the Rest

BtB Previews the 2007 Fantasy Football Season

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

August 1st, 2007

The start of training camps means that fantasy football drafting season is upon us and, with all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, full-season fantasy football projections with you, our users, as the focus of our next BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the sum of the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of July 30th.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback	Running Back	Wide Receiver	Tight End
Kicker	Team Defense	Individual Defense

Overall rankings

	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
1.	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	Chargers	16	366.3
2.	Peyton Manning	QB	Colts	16	341.9
3.	Steven Jackson	RB	Rams	16	325.9
4.	Drew Brees	QB	Saints	16	296.3
5.	Frank Gore	RB	49ers	14	290.6
6.	Larry Johnson	RB	Chiefs	15	285.0
7.	Tom Brady	QB	Patriots	16	278.7
8.	Jon Kitna	QB	Lions	16	275.8
9.	Carson Palmer	QB	Bengals	16	274.1
10.	Joseph Addai	RB	Colts	16	273.8
11.	Alex Smith	QB	49ers	16	273.3
12.	Brian Westbrook	RB	Eagles	14	258.9
13.	Marc Bulger	QB	Rams	14	253.9
14.	Philip Rivers	QB	Chargers	16	251.6
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
15.	J.P. Losman	QB	Bills	16	247.0
16.	Tony Romo	QB	Cowboys	15	239.5
17.	Rudi Johnson	RB	Bengals	16	238.3
18.	Shaun Alexander	RB	Seahawks	15	237.0
19.	Laurence Maroney	RB	Patriots	14	235.9
20.	Jeff Garcia	QB	Buccaneers	14	232.2
21.	Edgerrin James	RB	Cardinals	16	231.9
22.	Thomas Jones	RB	Jets	16	228.0
23.	Travis Henry	RB	Broncos	16	223.9
24.	Matt Schaub	QB	Texans	16	220.8
25.	Eli Manning	QB	Giants	16	220.5
26.	Maurice Jones-Drew	RB	Jaguars	16	217.4
27.	Willie Parker	RB	Steelers	16	215.7
28.	Brett Favre	QB	Packers	16	214.7
29.	Donovan McNabb	QB	Eagles	13	214.5
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
30.	Cedric Benson	RB	Bears	16	211.7
31.	Jason Campbell	QB	Redskins	15	210.4
32.	Reggie Bush	RB	Saints	16	210.1
33.	Vince Young	QB	Titans	16	208.7
34.	Chad Pennington	QB	Jets	14	205.7
35.	Willis McGahee	RB	Ravens	16	202.5
36.	Ronnie Brown	RB	Dolphins	15	201.8
37.	Matt Leinart	QB	Cardinals	14	201.6
38.	Reggie Wayne	WR	Colts	16	201.2
39.	Marvin Harrison	WR	Colts	16	199.7
40.	Joey Harrington	QB	Falcons	13	197.3
41.	Steve Smith	WR	Panthers	16	195.4
42.	Roy Williams	WR	Lions	15	194.2
43.	Deuce McAllister	RB	Saints	16	189.7
44.	Torry Holt	WR	Rams	16	187.1
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
45.	Matt Hasselbeck	QB	Seahawks	15	185.4
46.	Bears	DEF		16	185.0
47.	Jay Cutler	QB	Broncos	16	183.8
48.	Lee Evans	WR	Bills	16	182.9
49.	Javon Walker	WR	Broncos	16	182.8
50.	Trent Green	QB	Dolphins	15	181.9
51.	Andre Johnson	WR	Texans	16	181.9
52.	Jake Delhomme	QB	Panthers	12	181.7
53.	Steve McNair	QB	Ravens	14	180.8
54.	Carnell Williams	RB	Buccaneers	15	179.9
55.	Chad Johnson	WR	Bengals	16	179.7
56.	Marques Colston	WR	Saints	16	178.9
57.	Tarvaris Jackson	QB	Vikings	14	178.4
58.	Deion Branch	WR	Seahawks	16	178.0
59.	Patriots	DEF		16	175.9
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
60.	Marion Barber III	RB	Cowboys	16	175.0
61.	Rex Grossman	QB	Bears	14	174.6
62.	Clinton Portis	RB	Redskins	14	174.1
63.	Calvin Johnson	WR	Lions	16	172.4
64.	Ben Roethlisberger	QB	Steelers	14	170.9
65.	Anquan Boldin	WR	Cardinals	16	167.1
66.	Jamal Lewis	RB	Browns	14	166.2
67.	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	Cardinals	15	163.9
68.	Donald Driver	WR	Packers	16	163.8
69.	DeAngelo Williams	RB	Panthers	16	161.1
70.	Terrell Owens	WR	Cowboys	15	160.9
71.	Chester Taylor	RB	Vikings	15	160.5
72.	Joey Galloway	WR	Buccaneers	16	160.3
73.	Ahman Green	RB	Texans	14	159.9
74.	Marshawn Lynch	RB	Bills	16	158.9
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
75.	Brandon Jacobs	RB	Giants	16	158.8
76.	Darrell Jackson	WR	49ers	16	156.3
77.	T.J. Houshmandzadeh	WR	Bengals	16	154.4
78.	Santana Moss	WR	Redskins	15	151.6
79.	Laveranues Coles	WR	Jets	16	150.4
80.	LaMont Jordan	RB	Raiders	16	148.8
81.	Plaxico Burress	WR	Giants	16	148.3
82.	Dolphins	DEF		16	147.7
83.	Fred Taylor	RB	Jaguars	13	146.4
84.	Jaguars	DEF		16	145.0
85.	Brandon Jackson	RB	Packers	16	143.8
86.	Braylon Edwards	WR	Browns	15	142.8
87.	Jerious Norwood	RB	Falcons	16	142.6
88.	Chargers	DEF		16	141.5
89.	JaMarcus Russell	QB	Raiders	12	140.6
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
90.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Vikings	15	140.2
91.	DeShaun Foster	RB	Panthers	13	139.2
92.	Vernand Morency	RB	Packers	14	138.5
93.	Panthers	DEF		16	138.0
94.	Terry Glenn	WR	Cowboys	16	136.7
95.	LenDale White	RB	Titans	16	135.6
96.	Hines Ward	WR	Steelers	15	135.2
97.	Warrick Dunn	RB	Falcons	15	134.1
98.	Julius Jones	RB	Cowboys	14	133.9
99.	Ladell Betts	RB	Redskins	16	133.3
100.	Randy Moss	WR	Patriots	16	133.2
101.	Broncos	DEF		16	132.2
102.	Joe Horn	WR	Falcons	14	131.8
103.	Ravens	DEF		16	131.7
104.	Antonio Gates	TE	Chargers	16	130.5
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
105.	Byron Leftwich	QB	Jaguars	10	129.2
106.	Jerricho Cotchery	WR	Jets	16	128.2
107.	Brady Quinn	QB	Browns	15	127.6
108.	Mark Clayton	WR	Ravens	16	127.6
109.	Reggie Brown	WR	Eagles	16	126.4
110.	Drew Bennett	WR	Rams	15	124.0
111.	Tatum Bell	RB	Lions	16	123.7
112.	Kellen Winslow	TE	Browns	15	122.0
113.	Chris Chambers	WR	Dolphins	16	121.3
114.	Reuben Droughns	RB	Giants	16	120.5
115.	Kevin Jones	RB	Lions	10	118.3
116.	Steelers	DEF		16	117.0
117.	Vernon Davis	TE	49ers	16	115.5
118.	D.J. Hackett	WR	Seahawks	16	114.2
119.	Greg Jennings	WR	Packers	16	113.4
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
120.	Packers	DEF		16	112.4
121.	Bernard Berrian	WR	Bears	13	110.4
122.	Cowboys	DEF		16	110.3
123.	Alge Crumpler	TE	Falcons	16	109.4
124.	Bengals	DEF		16	107.6
125.	49ers	DEF		16	107.1
126.	Damon Huard	QB	Chiefs	9	106.9
127.	Jets	DEF		16	106.7
128.	Donte' Stallworth	WR	Patriots	16	106.5
129.	Mike Bell	RB	Broncos	16	106.3
130.	Buccaneers	DEF		16	106.0
131.	Robert Meachem	WR	Saints	14	104.3
132.	Joe Jurevicius	WR	Browns	15	103.9
133.	Mike Furrey	WR	Lions	16	103.0
134.	Raiders	DEF		16	102.4
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
135.	Jeremy Shockey	TE	Giants	16	101.2
136.	Vincent Jackson	WR	Chargers	16	100.9
137.	Eagles	DEF		16	100.9
138.	Jason Witten	TE	Cowboys	16	100.3
139.	Muhsin Muhammad	WR	Bears	16	100.0
140.	Vikings	DEF		16	99.7
141.	Kevin Curtis	WR	Eagles	16	99.4
142.	Todd Heap	TE	Ravens	16	99.4
143.	Chiefs	DEF		16	98.8
144.	Saints	DEF		16	97.9
145.	Maurice Stovall	WR	Buccaneers	16	97.5
146.	Ronald Curry	WR	Raiders	16	97.1
147.	Chris Cooley	TE	Redskins	16	96.1
148.	Matt Jones	WR	Jaguars	16	95.2
149.	Bobby Wade	WR	Vikings	16	94.5
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
150.	Marty Booker	WR	Dolphins	16	94.3
151.	Dwayne Jarrett	WR	Panthers	16	94.3
152.	Jerry Porter	WR	Raiders	16	94.1
153.	Colts	DEF		16	93.7
154.	Eddie Kennison	WR	Chiefs	16	92.9
155.	Santonio Holmes	WR	Steelers	15	92.1
156.	Troy Williamson	WR	Vikings	15	92.1
157.	Bills	DEF		16	92.0
158.	Benjamin Watson	TE	Patriots	16	91.6
159.	Michael Clayton	WR	Buccaneers	14	91.2
160.	Mike Anderson	RB	Ravens	16	90.2
161.	Kevin Walter	WR	Texans	16	90.1
162.	Roddy White	WR	Falcons	16	90.0
163.	Lorenzo Booker	RB	Dolphins	16	89.6
164.	Sidney Rice	WR	Vikings	16	89.6
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
165.	Drew Carter	WR	Panthers	16	88.6
166.	Tony Gonzalez	TE	Chiefs	16	87.9
167.	Redskins	DEF		16	86.2
168.	Reggie Williams	WR	Jaguars	16	85.8
169.	Samie Parker	WR	Chiefs	16	85.3
170.	Devery Henderson	WR	Saints	16	85.0
171.	Brodie Croyle	QB	Chiefs	9	84.8
172.	Doug Gabriel	WR	Raiders	16	84.8
173.	Bryant Johnson	WR	Cardinals	16	84.1
174.	Owen Daniels	TE	Texans	16	83.7
175.	Michael Pittman	RB	Buccaneers	16	82.4
176.	Chris Henry	RB	Titans	16	81.5
177.	Falcons	DEF		16	81.3
178.	Arnaz Battle	WR	49ers	16	80.9
179.	Eric Parker	WR	Chargers	15	79.9
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
180.	Cardinals	DEF		16	79.7
181.	David Carr	QB	Panthers	7	79.3
182.	Mark Bradley	WR	Bears	16	79.0
183.	Dwayne Bowe	WR	Chiefs	16	78.8
184.	Demetrius Williams	WR	Ravens	16	78.6
185.	Michael Jenkins	WR	Falcons	16	78.6
186.	Giants	DEF		16	78.4
187.	Seahawks	DEF		16	77.7
188.	Peerless Price	WR	Bills	16	77.6
189.	Charlie Frye	QB	Browns	6	76.7
190.	Brandon Jones	WR	Titans	16	76.3
191.	Leon Washington	RB	Jets	16	76.2
192.	Anthony Gonzalez	WR	Colts	16	75.7
193.	L.J. Smith	TE	Eagles	16	74.9
194.	Craig Davis	WR	Chargers	16	74.8
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
195.	Isaac Bruce	WR	Rams	16	73.7
196.	Roscoe Parrish	WR	Bills	14	73.3
197.	Derrick Mason	WR	Ravens	16	72.8
198.	Anthony Thomas	RB	Bills	14	72.1
199.	Browns	DEF		16	71.6
200.	Michael Turner	RB	Chargers	16	70.8
201.	Michael Bennett	RB	Chiefs	12	70.2
202.	Ron Dayne	RB	Texans	16	70.1
203.	Kenny Irons	RB	Bengals	16	69.4
204.	Garrett Wolfe	RB	Bears	16	69.2
205.	Rams	DEF		16	69.1
206.	Steve Smith	WR	Giants	16	68.5
207.	David Garrard	QB	Jaguars	6	68.4
208.	Michael Bush	RB	Raiders	16	66.0
209.	Jason Hill	WR	49ers	16	65.4
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
210.	Justin McCareins	WR	Jets	16	65.2
211.	Ernest Wilford	WR	Jaguars	16	65.1
212.	Josh McCown	QB	Raiders	11	64.4
213.	Lions	DEF		16	64.2
214.	Ted Ginn Jr.	WR	Dolphins	15	63.4
215.	Patrick Crayton	WR	Cowboys	16	63.3
216.	Kevin Faulk	RB	Patriots	16	63.2
217.	Correll Buckhalter	RB	Eagles	13	62.8
218.	Desmond Clark	TE	Bears	16	62.7
219.	Nate Washington	WR	Steelers	16	62.6
220.	Tab Perry	WR	Bengals	16	62.3
221.	Antwaan Randle El	WR	Redskins	16	61.7
222.	Brandon Lloyd	WR	Redskins	16	61.6
223.	Texans	DEF		16	61.1
224.	Najeh Davenport	RB	Steelers	13	61.1
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
225.	Michael Robinson	RB	49ers	16	60.4
226.	Verron Haynes	RB	Steelers	16	59.5
227.	Maurice Morris	RB	Seahawks	16	59.3
228.	Dallas Clark	TE	Colts	12	59.1
229.	Jacoby Jones	WR	Texans	16	58.8
230.	Bo Scaife	TE	Titans	16	58.7
231.	Amani Toomer	WR	Giants	14	58.2
232.	Rod Smith	WR	Broncos	16	57.0
233.	James Jones	WR	Packers	16	56.4
234.	Matt Schobel	TE	Eagles	16	54.8
235.	Randy McMichael	TE	Rams	16	54.2
236.	Brian Leonard	RB	Rams	16	54.0
237.	Bobby Engram	WR	Seahawks	13	53.6
238.	Chris Baker	TE	Jets	16	51.9
239.	David Thomas	TE	Patriots	16	51.6
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
240.	Dominic Rhodes	RB	Raiders	12	51.5
241.	Bryan Fletcher	TE	Colts	16	50.9
242.	Alex Smith	TE	Buccaneers	16	50.8
243.	Josh Reed	WR	Bills	16	49.4
244.	Johnnie Lee Higgins	WR	Raiders	16	49.4
245.	Tim Carter	WR	Browns	16	49.1
246.	Wes Welker	WR	Patriots	15	48.7
247.	Mike Williams	WR	Raiders	16	47.4
248.	Greg Lewis	WR	Eagles	16	47.0
249.	Eric Johnson	TE	Saints	16	46.2
250.	Titans	DEF		16	45.9
251.	Heath Evans	RB	Patriots	16	44.9
252.	Ashley Lelie	WR	49ers	16	43.8
253.	Reggie Kelly	TE	Bengals	16	42.8
254.	David Martin	TE	Dolphins	16	42.8
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
255.	Jerome Harrison	RB	Browns	16	42.4
256.	Visanthe Shiancoe	TE	Vikings	16	42.2
257.	Greg Jones	RB	Jaguars	13	42.2
258.	George Wrighster	TE	Jaguars	16	42.1
259.	Ruvell Martin	WR	Packers	16	42.1
260.	Brandon Marshall	WR	Broncos	16	41.8
261.	Kurt Warner	QB	Cardinals	11	41.6
262.	Chris Brown	RB	Titans	16	41.6
263.	Justin Gage	WR	Titans	16	39.7
264.	D.J. Shockley	QB	Falcons	14	39.2
265.	Cecil Sapp	RB	Broncos	16	39.0
266.	DeDe Dorsey	RB	Colts	16	39.0
267.	Steve Heiden	TE	Browns	16	38.6
268.	Leonard Pope	TE	Cardinals	16	38.1
269.	Ovie Mughelli	RB	Falcons	16	38.0
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
270.	Robert Royal	TE	Bills	16	37.7
271.	Chris Simms	QB	Buccaneers	9	36.8
272.	Heath Miller	TE	Steelers	16	36.7
273.	Ike Hilliard	WR	Buccaneers	16	36.1
274.	Dwayne Wright	RB	Bills	16	36.0
275.	Gus Frerotte	QB	Rams	16	35.2
276.	Zach Miller	TE	Raiders	16	35.2
277.	Greg Olsen	TE	Bears	16	35.1
278.	Ben Troupe	TE	Titans	16	34.8
279.	J.J. Arrington	RB	Cardinals	16	33.3
280.	Dan Campbell	TE	Lions	15	33.1
281.	Jesse Chatman	RB	Dolphins	16	32.8
282.	Musa Smith	RB	Ravens	16	32.5
283.	Jermaine Wiggins	TE	Jaguars	16	32.5
284.	Kellen Clemens	QB	Jets	16	32.1
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
285.	Marcel Shipp	RB	Cardinals	16	31.9
286.	Marcus Pollard	TE	Seahawks	16	31.8
287.	Tony Richardson	RB	Vikings	16	31.2
288.	Devin Hester	WR	Bears	16	31.2
289.	Mack Strong	RB	Seahawks	16	31.1
290.	Tony Hunt	RB	Eagles	16	30.4
291.	A.J. Feeley	QB	Eagles	15	30.2
292.	Brandon Stokley	WR	Broncos	11	30.0
293.	Wali Lundy	RB	Texans	13	30.0
294.	Nate Burleson	WR	Seahawks	16	29.5
295.	Daniel Graham	TE	Broncos	16	29.1
296.	Antonio Pittman	RB	Saints	16	29.1
297.	David Givens	WR	Titans	10	29.1
298.	Kevan Barlow	RB	Steelers	16	29.0
299.	Shaun McDonald	WR	Lions	14	28.7
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
300.	Ben Utecht	TE	Colts	16	28.4
301.	Bubba Franks	TE	Packers	16	28.1
302.	Jeff King	TE	Panthers	16	28.1
303.	Priest Holmes	RB	Chiefs	13	27.9
304.	Derek Hagan	WR	Dolphins	16	27.9
305.	T.J. Duckett	RB	Lions	16	27.7
306.	Reche Caldwell	WR	Patriots	16	27.4
307.	Brooks Bollinger	QB	Vikings	4	26.9
308.	Derek Anderson	QB	Browns	10	26.7
309.	Billy McMullen	WR	Vikings	16	26.6
310.	Brad Hoover	RB	Panthers	16	26.4
311.	Chris Henry	WR	Bengals	6	25.9
312.	Marcedes Lewis	TE	Jaguars	16	25.7
313.	Brian Griese	QB	Bears	8	25.3
314.	Joe Klopfenstein	TE	Rams	16	25.2
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
315.	Travis Wilson	WR	Browns	16	24.9
316.	Kyle Boller	QB	Ravens	10	24.6
317.	Mike Sellers	RB	Redskins	16	24.6
318.	Lawrence Vickers	RB	Browns	16	24.5
319.	Mark Campbell	TE	Saints	16	23.7
320.	Antonio Chatman	WR	Bengals	13	23.6
321.	Charlie Batch	QB	Steelers	5	23.5
322.	Cedrick Wilson	WR	Steelers	16	23.1
323.	Brad Johnson	QB	Cowboys	8	23.0
324.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Bears	16	22.7
325.	Adam Jennings	WR	Falcons	16	22.7
326.	Vonta Leach	RB	Texans	16	22.1
327.	Lorenzo Neal	RB	Chargers	16	22.0
328.	Ryne Robinson	WR	Panthers	16	21.9
329.	Darian Barnes	RB	Jets	16	21.9
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
330.	Tony Scheffler	TE	Broncos	16	21.9
331.	Donald Lee	TE	Packers	16	21.8
332.	Hank Baskett	WR	Eagles	16	21.7
333.	Quinn Gray	QB	Jaguars	4	21.6
334.	Chris Redman	QB	Falcons	3	21.2
335.	Trent Dilfer	QB	49ers	11	20.9
336.	Paris Warren	WR	Buccaneers	16	20.6
337.	Sinorice Moss	WR	Giants	13	20.5
338.	Kevin Kolb	QB	Eagles	3	19.8
339.	LeRon McCoy	WR	Cardinals	16	19.8
340.	Michael Gaines	TE	Panthers	16	19.5
341.	Seneca Wallace	QB	Seahawks	11	19.4
342.	Dwayne Blakley	TE	Falcons	16	18.7
343.	Glenn Holt	WR	Bengals	16	17.9
344.	Sage Rosenfels	QB	Texans	9	17.8
	Name	Pos	Team	GP	Points*
345.	Derrick Ward	RB	Giants	16	17.7
346.	Jason McKie	RB	Bears	16	17.4
347.	Jeb Putzier	TE	Texans	16	17.2
348.	Sam Hurd	WR	Cowboys	16	16.9
349.	Courtney Anderson	TE	Dolphins	16	16.9
350.	Mike Alstott	RB	Buccaneers	16	16.6

* The individual players and defensive teams below are ranked based entirely on projected full-season fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

Please note: These overall fantasy rankings are strictly based on total points earned for the season. They do not account for position scarcity, number of owners drafting and their drafting style, roster restrictions, custom league scoring rules or other items that should be considered while drafting. Injuries are accounted for based on a player's past history and the likelihood of missing games due to injury. This is reflected in his games plaed (GP) value. However, unless the injury is already known and takes place at the beginning of the season, the players are arbitrarily injured throughout the season (as opposed to just at the end or beginning of the year). Players with less than 16 GP will likely vary the most from their projected numbers because they are injury-prone or have depth chart and playing time concerns.

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